The Associated Press' analysis of state polls and strategists' interviews indicates that President Bush has 25 states and 213 Electoral College votes to challenger John Kerry's 14 states and 193 votes.
It takes 270 votes to become president. The candidates are in a dead heat in 11 states that have 128 electoral votes, including Florida. Two other tossup states (Pennsylvania and Oregon) could move soon into Kerry's ledger.
In the 2000 election, Bush got one more electoral vote than was needed to win (271). Al Gore finished with 267 electoral votes. The college has shifted in 4 years, moving a few more votes to states Bush won. A Bush strategist called the race "tied."